Buffalo Forecast Reaches Record-Warm 76 Degrees
Wednesday's forecast high would top the city's November 4 record of 74 degrees set in 2022, before rain moves in that evening.
Updated on Nov. 4, 2026 in Forecasts
Buffalo is forecast to reach 76 degrees on Wednesday, November 4, which would exceed the date's record high of 74 degrees set in 2022. Rain develops Wednesday evening and continues overnight into Thursday.
Why it matters
Highs on Wednesday are forecast to run 20 to 25 degrees above the average high of 52 degrees for the date, a sharp departure from typical early-November conditions for Buffalo residents. The temperature swing is followed by a cooler, wetter stretch into the weekend.
The forecast high of 76 degrees for Wednesday would beat Buffalo's record of 74 degrees for November 4, set in 2022, and sits 24 degrees above the 52-degree average high. Forecasts for the days ahead remain subject to change, and the timing of rain may shift.
The details
Rain develops Wednesday evening and takes over Wednesday night, then lingers early Thursday before clearing by 9 a.m. Clouds are expected to break for more sunshine by Thursday afternoon, with more clouds and rain returning Friday and Saturday.
Timeline
Wednesday, November 4: Forecast high of 76 degrees, with rain developing in the evening.
Thursday, November 5: Morning showers clear by 9 a.m.; forecast high of 66 degrees.
Friday, November 6: Forecast high of 61 degrees with more clouds and rain.
Seasonal Patterns
The forecast 76-degree high would exceed Buffalo's November 4 record of 74 degrees set in 2022, placing this warm spell above the local benchmark for the date. Compared with the 52-degree average high, the departure underscores how far this week runs from typical early-November climatology.
Residents should plan for a sharp temperature drop after Wednesday, with highs falling from the upper 60s on Thursday to the low 50s by the weekend. Wet conditions returning Friday and Saturday may affect outdoor plans, so check updated forecasts before heading out.
The takeaway
Buffalo's warm spike is brief, so residents should expect a quick return to cooler, wetter weather from Friday onward.
What happens next
Rain is expected to return Friday and Saturday, with highs falling from 61 degrees to 53 degrees over that span.
Further reading
For the days ahead, see the latest Buffalo forecasts section.
Source note: This article includes information reported by Wivb4.
