Texas Heating Bills to Rise to $428.27 This Winter
Power Choice Texas projects households will pay $428.27 for heating from October 2026 through March 2027, up from the prior season.
Updated on Nov. 6, 2026 in Utilities
Live Poll
Do you expect your household's heating costs to rise this winter?
Power Choice Texas projects Texas households will pay $428.27 in heating costs from October 2026 through March 2027, $69.40 more than the October 2025 through March 2026 season. The projected Texas total is 33.8% below the projected national average of $646.80.
Why it matters
The projected increase lands on Texas households during the heating season, when winter energy bills are typically highest. Because Texas's projection remains well below the national average, the state ranks sixth-lowest among contiguous states for projected heating costs.
Texas households are projected to pay an average of $71.38 per month over the six-month season, a 19.3% increase over the prior season's $358.87 estimate. The forecast is an estimate and depends on anticipated demand and price changes that may not materialize.
The players
Power Choice Texas
Power Choice Texas is an energy comparison service that analyzed federal data to produce the Texas heating cost projections.
U.S. Energy Information Administration
The U.S. Energy Information Administration is the federal statistical agency that publishes energy data and projections used to build the estimates.
The details
Power Choice Texas calculated the estimates using U.S. Energy Information Administration data and federal projections for the October 2026 through March 2027 heating season. Arizona has the lowest projected seasonal heating bill among contiguous states at $256.23, while Rhode Island has the highest at $1,524.93, and Florida is projected at $259.24.
Timeline
October 2025 through March 2026: prior heating season used as the baseline for comparison.
October 1, 2026: start of the projected October 2026 through March 2027 heating season.
Market Landscape
The projection is built on U.S. Energy Information Administration data, the same federal source that underpins state-by-state heating estimates. Texas's projected total sits well below the national average, placing it among the lower-cost states in the contiguous United States.
Texas households should expect heating bills to rise about $69 over last winter if the projection holds. Budgeting for roughly $71 a month across the six-month season can help offset the higher projected cost.
The takeaway
Households in Texas face a higher projected heating bill than last season, but still well below the national average. Planning a monthly budget around the projected average can ease the impact of winter energy costs.
Further reading
Explore more on Texas utilities for context on household energy costs in the state.
Source note: This article includes information reported by The Cool Down.
Live Poll
Do you expect your household's heating costs to rise this winter?
