Van Drew Favored in NJ-2 Race

Prediction markets and election forecasts show Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew leading Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district.

Updated on Nov. 3, 2026 in Elections

Bold flat-color editorial illustration of a plain ballot box in front of a geometric district outline, rendered in deep navy and cream with a muted red accent. — Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a 55-45 edge over Democrat Zack Mullock in New Jersey's 2nd District, according to Tuesday prediction markets and election forecasts. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

Live Poll

Did you vote for Jeff Van Drew or Zack Mullock in NJ-2?

Live Election Day prediction markets showed Jeff Van Drew favored 55-45 over Zack Mullock in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district. Decision Desk HQ, PollsMax, and PoliAgg forecasts also favor the Republican incumbent.

Why it matters

The NJ-2 seat was added to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's target list in October, making it a potentially competitive contest in South Jersey. Market and model forecasts currently point toward Van Drew retaining the seat.

Market prices and forecasts from Kalshi, Polymarket, Decision Desk HQ, PollsMax and PoliAgg all favor Van Drew, with the most recent public poll showing him ahead 50% to 40% in October. Live odds can change through the day, and PoliAgg notes limited recent polling leaves substantial uncertainty.

The players

Jeff Van Drew

Jeff Van Drew is the Republican incumbent representing New Jersey's 2nd congressional district, and he won another term by a wide margin in 2024.

Zack Mullock

Zack Mullock is the Democratic nominee seeking New Jersey's 2nd congressional seat in the 2026 midterm election.

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is the House Democrats' campaign arm, which added NJ-2 to its target list in October.

The details

Van Drew, the Republican incumbent, is facing Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district, covering South Jersey. Live Election Day coverage tracks results in Monmouth and Ocean counties, and the New Jersey Division of Elections directs users to county websites for returns.

October 7-10, 2026: Impact Research conducts the latest public NJ-2 poll.
October 2026: NJ-2 is added to the DCCC's target list.
November 3, 2026: New Jersey midterm Election Day; polls close at 8 p.m. ET.

Political Context

NJ-2's addition to the DCCC's target list signals national Democratic investment in the district. Current forecasts still favor Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew, who won re-election by a wide margin in 2024.

The outcome determines who represents South Jersey's 2nd district in Congress for the next term. Residents in Monmouth and Ocean counties can follow county election websites for official returns on election night.

The takeaway

Election-night odds can move quickly, so readers should rely on official county results rather than prediction markets for final outcomes in close races.