Florida Senate Race Tied in New Polling
Incumbent Ashley Moody and challenger Angie Nixon are locked in a dead heat as the general election approaches.
Updated on Sept. 20, 2026 in Elections
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Recent polling indicates that Florida's U.S. Senate race between Ashley Moody and challenger Angie Nixon is deadlocked. The incumbent and the Democratic nominee are currently tied as the campaign intensifies ahead of the November 2026 election.
Why it matters
The race has tightened significantly, with the Ashley Moody campaign warning supporters that Democratic enthusiasm is currently running 10 points higher than Republican engagement.
Recent polls show the candidates deadlocked at 45-45 and 47-47 in separate surveys. Currently, 3% of voters support a third-party option, while 7% remain undecided.
The players
Ashley Moody
She is the incumbent U.S. Senator for Florida who previously held the seat occupied by Marco Rubio.
Angie Nixon
She is the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate and joined the Democratic Socialists of America during her campaign.
Alexander Vindman
He is a former Democratic primary candidate who outspent his opponent by a 10-to-1 margin before losing the nomination.
The details
After overcoming a 10-to-1 spending disadvantage against Alexander Vindman in the primary, Angie Nixon is utilizing a grassroots-focused strategy while Ashley Moody has declined to participate in a debate. The Moody campaign issued a special election alert on September 18, 2026, citing Democratic voter motivation as a key factor in the narrowing margin.
Timeline
July 2026: Angie Nixon held a campaign rally with residents in The Villages.
September 18, 2026: The Ashley Moody campaign released a special election alert to supporters.
November 2026: The U.S. Senate general election is scheduled to occur.
Political Context
The narrowing race mirrors a broader trend where incumbent campaigns in high-stakes contests increasingly rely on direct alerts to mobilize voters against highly motivated opposition. This follows the structural pattern established by the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate general election.
As the candidates remain tied, residents may experience an increase in targeted campaign communications, fundraising requests, and advertising volume. The outcome of this contest will determine which representative shapes federal policy for the state for the next term.
The takeaway
Voters should prepare for an intensified campaign period as both parties pivot to address the nearly even split in support identified by recent surveys. With 7% of the electorate still undecided, both campaigns are likely to focus heavily on grassroots outreach in the final weeks.
Further reading
For more on the upcoming state contests, visit Florida Elections.
Live Poll
Do you plan to vote for your party's candidate in the upcoming U.S. Senate election?
