Arizona Projects 412,326 New Jobs by 2035
The state's employment is forecast to grow nearly four times faster than the national pace over the decade.
Updated on Nov. 10, 2026 in Employment
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The Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity released its 2025-2035 Projected Employment Report on November 5, 2025. It projects employment rising from 3,477,669 jobs in 2025 to 3,889,995 jobs in 2035.
Why it matters
The projected growth rests on continued population growth, largely driven by migration to Arizona, which also raises healthcare demand as the population expands and ages. Labor force participation could face downward pressure as the population ages.
The Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity projects 412,326 added jobs, a 1.1% average annual growth rate versus 0.3% nationally, following 672,537 jobs added from 2015 to 2025. The projection depends on migration assumptions and government staffing limits that the report does not test against alternative scenarios.
The players
Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity
The state office that produces economic and labor forecasts for Arizona, including the 2025-2035 Projected Employment Report.
The details
Healthcare and social assistance is projected to add 112,612 jobs by 2035, and construction is projected to add 48,483. Maricopa County is projected to account for 327,037 of the new jobs, about 79% of the statewide gain, while natural resources and mining is projected to lose 1,647 jobs and the information sector to decline by 657 positions.
Timeline
2015-2025: Arizona added 672,537 jobs over the decade.
2025: Arizona's employment baseline stood at 3,477,669 jobs.
November 5, 2025: The Office of Economic Opportunity released the projection report.
2035: Projected Arizona employment reaches 3,889,995 jobs.
Economic Trajectory
The projected 1.1% annual growth rate is roughly half the 2.2% pace Arizona recorded over 2015-2025, when the state added 672,537 jobs. It still outpaces the 0.3% national projection, extending a decade-long pattern of above-average growth.
Workers in healthcare, social assistance and construction face the strongest projected hiring over the decade. Residents in sectors such as natural resources, mining and information should expect continued job losses in those fields.
The takeaway
Arizona's job market is projected to grow fastest in healthcare and in Maricopa County, so workers planning careers there may find the strongest demand over the next decade. Those in declining sectors should weigh retraining as the state's economy shifts.
Further reading
For related coverage, see Arizona Employment news on the state's labor market.
Source note: This article includes information reported by AZ Big Media.
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