Texas Will Face Florida on Saturday

The No. 7 Texas Longhorns prepare for a key matchup against Florida this Saturday at noon ET on ABC.

Updated on Oct. 13, 2026 in Football

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The No. 7 Texas Longhorns will host Florida this Saturday at noon ET in a game broadcast on ABC. This matchup follows Texas' recent loss to Oklahoma and is critical for both teams as they seek to strengthen their College Football Playoff resumes.

Why it matters

Both programs are fighting to improve their standing in the College Football Playoff rankings, making this Week 7 contest pivotal for their postseason goals.

The ESPN SP+ metric, developed by Bill Connelly, projects a 35-19 victory for Texas, exceeding the market line of 52.5 points with a predicted total of 54. This 16-point margin expectation sits well above the current betting spread of -10.5.

The players

Texas Longhorns

The Texas Longhorns are a prominent college football team currently ranked No. 7 in the AP poll.

Florida Gators

The Florida Gators are a collegiate football program that previously defeated Texas during the 2025 season.

Bill Connelly

Bill Connelly is a sports analyst who created the SP+ metric used to forecast college football outcomes.

The details

Texas enters the contest ranked No. 7 in the AP poll, looking to rebound following a loss to Oklahoma. The game is a rematch of the 2025 season meeting where Florida defeated Texas 29-21 in Gainesville.

The 2025 season featured a 29-21 Florida victory in Gainesville.
The Florida vs. Texas game is scheduled for Week 7 of the 2026 season.
Kickoff for the matchup is set for Saturday at noon ET.

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Season Trajectory

This game serves as a pivotal juncture for both teams as they navigate the complexities of the expanded playoff format. A win for either side significantly alters their path through the final weeks of the season and their potential seeding.

Texas is currently favored to cover a -10.5 point spread according to current market lines. The game is expected to reach 54 total points, which would exceed the current betting market line of 52.5.

The takeaway

The SP+ metric serves as a key analytical tool for fans tracking how teams compare statistically ahead of high-stakes conference games. Understanding these projections provides context for how oddsmakers and analysts value the strength of schedule during the playoff race.