Ryan Wilson Excluded Arch Manning From Mock Draft
The draft analyst ranked five other quarterbacks ahead of the Texas starter in his latest 2027 projections.
Updated on Oct. 7, 2026 in Football
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NFL draft analyst Ryan Wilson has left Texas quarterback Arch Manning off his latest first-round mock draft for 2027. Despite the team's undefeated start, Wilson placed five other quarterbacks ahead of Manning in his current rankings.
Why it matters
The analyst suggests that Manning has not consistently met the high expectations associated with his potential as a first-round NFL draft pick. League sources contributed to the evaluation of his performance relative to his draft stock.
Through four games in the 2026 season, Manning has completed 73 of 115 passes for 862 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions. His Texas team holds a 4-0 record, most recently securing a 24-23 victory over Ohio State.
The players
Ryan Wilson
He is an NFL draft analyst who evaluates collegiate prospects for future professional selection.
Arch Manning
He is the starting quarterback for the Texas Longhorns college football team.
The details
Manning has anchored an undefeated 4-0 campaign for Texas, including a narrow one-point win against Ohio State. However, his statistical output over those four games has not been enough to earn a spot in the current first-round mock draft published by Ryan Wilson.
Timeline
Arch Manning played four games as a college starter during the 2026 season.
Texas is scheduled to face Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry this upcoming Saturday.
Season Trajectory
This exclusion highlights the volatile nature of long-term draft projections for high-profile college prospects. While the 2027 class remains in early development, current expert assessments like this shape the perceived value of top-tier talent throughout the season.
Manning's absence from this mock draft suggests his current performance metrics have not satisfied all external scouting benchmarks. Fans and fantasy observers tracking the 2027 class must now account for this expert skepticism regarding his projected draft position.
The takeaway
Draft stock for collegiate quarterbacks often fluctuates significantly based on performance in key rivalries and high-pressure matchups. Analysts frequently update their projections to reflect whether a player is meeting the specific development benchmarks required for professional success.
Further reading
For more on collegiate scouting and professional prospects, visit Football.
Source note: This article includes information reported by Heavy.
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