Support for Political Force Has Risen Sharply

A new survey finds that one-quarter of American adults support using force to block Donald Trump from the presidency.

Updated on Sept. 28, 2026 in Elections

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A new University of Chicago survey shows that support for using force to prevent Donald Trump from assuming the presidency has risen to 25 percent. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

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Approximately 65 million American adults, or 25% of the population, now support using force to prevent Donald Trump from assuming the presidency. This figure marks a significant increase from 9% in previous polling.

Why it matters

The rise in support for political violence highlights growing instability in the electorate ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Researchers warn that partisan polarization is creating a dangerous window for potential conflict during the certification period.

Current data shows 44% of self-identified Democrats support the use of force to prevent Donald Trump from taking office, with 55% of all force-advocates endorsing lethal action. Additionally, 16% of Americans support military suppression of protesters.

The players

Donald Trump

He is the current President of the United States.

Robert Pape

He is a political scientist who studies the triggers of political violence and institutional stability.

Chicago Project on Security and Threats

This is a research institute at the University of Chicago that analyzes political extremism and international security.

The details

The findings, compiled by the Chicago Project on Security and Threats with NORC at the University of Chicago, indicate that support for force has climbed steadily since 2025. Political scientist Robert Pape noted that the period between Election Day 2026 and the January 2027 certification presents the highest risk for political violence.

Timeline

  1. September 2025: Support for using force measured 14 percent.

  2. September 28, 2026: The report was published.

  3. Post-Election Day 2026: This period is identified as the highest risk window for violence.

  4. January 2027: This month marks the conclusion of the certification period.

Political Context

Opponents of this research often argue that such surveys may inadvertently incite the very violence they aim to measure or exaggerate public sentiment. Critics point to the risks of framing partisan rhetoric as genuine intent to engage in criminal activity.

The findings suggest that the 2026 midterm period may bring increased security measures and localized restrictions on public gatherings. Citizens should prepare for potential disruptions to standard post-election processes throughout the certification window.

The takeaway

The data reflects a concerning upward trend in the acceptance of political force as a legitimate tool by a significant portion of the electorate. Staying informed and engaging in peaceful civic discourse remains the most effective way to counter the normalization of such extreme views.

Further reading

For more context on the upcoming election cycle, visit the Elections section.

Source note: This article includes information reported by KTSA.

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