Packers Win Playoff Odds at 47%
The Athletic's NFL playoff simulator gives Green Bay a 47% chance of reaching the postseason after a 27-19 win over Carolina.
Updated on Nov. 2, 2026 in Football
The Athletic's NFL playoff simulator gave the Green Bay Packers a 47% playoff probability as of 12:17 a.m. on Nov. 2. The projection follows the Packers' 27-19 victory over the Carolina Panthers on Oct. 29, which improved them to 5-3.
Why it matters
Green Bay currently holds the NFC's seventh playoff position, a spot that remains uncertain given its upcoming schedule. The projection places the Packers behind the Minnesota Vikings, Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears in playoff likelihood.
The Packers have won four of their last five games after a 2-2 start, but their 1-2 division record leaves little margin before the Nov. 8 trip to New England and the Nov. 15 home game against Minnesota.
The players
Green Bay Packers
The Packers are a franchise in the NFC North division and one of the NFL's most historic teams, competing for a playoff berth this season.
The Athletic
The Athletic is a sports news publication whose NFL playoff simulator produced the projection.
The details
The Packers recovered from a 2-2 start by beating the Bears, Dallas Cowboys and Panthers, while losing earlier this season to Minnesota and Detroit. The simulator calculates playoff probabilities for each team based on remaining games and current standings.
Timeline
Oct. 29: Packers defeat the Carolina Panthers 27-19.
Nov. 2, 12:17 a.m.: The Athletic's simulator gives the Packers a 47% playoff probability.
Nov. 8: Packers travel to face the New England Patriots.
Nov. 15: Packers host Minnesota at Lambeau Field.
Season Trajectory
The Packers' 47% playoff probability places them in a tight NFC race where Minnesota, Detroit and Chicago hold substantially higher odds. Green Bay's recovery from a 2-2 start has moved them into the seventh playoff position, but their division record of 1-2 keeps the outcome unsettled.
Fantasy managers and fans tracking the NFC playoff race will see how the Packers' remaining games against New England and Minnesota shape their seventh-place standing. The schedule over the next two weeks will determine whether Green Bay moves closer to the 84% odds held by Minnesota.
The takeaway
Green Bay's playoff chances depend heavily on results in its next two games against New England and Minnesota, which will either widen its margin or push it further into the chase.
What happens next
The Packers travel to face the New England Patriots on Nov. 8 and host Minnesota at Lambeau Field on Nov. 15.
Further reading
For more on the team's season, see Football coverage of the Packers in Green Bay.
