Vermont Public Poll Found Governor Scott Leads Janoo
The new survey shows incumbent Phil Scott ahead of Amanda Janoo by 10 points among likely voters.
Updated on Oct. 7, 2026 in Elections
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A Vermont Public poll released Monday shows Governor Phil Scott holding a 44% to 34% lead over Amanda Janoo among likely voters. This result contrasts with a previous University of New Hampshire poll that showed Janoo leading Scott.
Why it matters
Understanding current polling trends is essential as Vermont voters prepare for the upcoming general election. The data highlights a volatile race where nearly one in six likely voters remains undecided.
Governor Phil Scott holds a 45% approval rating, while the congressional race shows Becca Balint leading Gerald Malloy 43% to 28%. Additionally, Molly Gray maintains an eight-point lead over John Rodgers in the lieutenant governor contest.
The players
Phil Scott
He is the current Governor of Vermont seeking re-election.
Amanda Janoo
She is a candidate challenging Governor Phil Scott in the general election.
Molly Gray
She is the incumbent leading the race for lieutenant governor.
Becca Balint
She is a Representative currently leading her congressional race.
Gerald Malloy
He is a candidate for the congressional race currently trailing Becca Balint.
The details
The poll surveyed Vermont residents who identified as likely to vote in the upcoming election. Outcomes in these races remain subject to change as upcoming debates are expected to influence voter sentiment.
Timeline
October 2, 2026: University of New Hampshire poll released.
October 5, 2026: Vermont Public poll released.
November 2026: General election date.
Political Context
Supporters of Amanda Janoo may point to the recent University of New Hampshire poll as evidence of momentum, contrasting it with the latest Vermont Public findings. The opposition often frames these discrepancies as a sign of an undecided electorate that could swing either way before the November vote.
The volatility in these poll numbers suggests that voters should pay close attention to upcoming debates to clarify policy differences between candidates. The high percentage of undecided voters indicates that final turnout and last-minute persuasion will be decisive for the state's leadership.
The takeaway
Voters should consider both polling snapshots to gauge the current state of the race rather than relying on a single data release. Tracking the performance of incumbent candidates versus challengers provides a clearer picture of potential shifts in state governance.
Further reading
For more on the upcoming state contests, visit Vermont Elections.
Live Poll
Do you trust that public political polls accurately predict election outcomes?
