Light Snow Forecast for Western New York This Weekend
National Weather Service expects minor snow accumulation, mainly on higher terrain, before milder temperatures return next week.
Updated on Nov. 12, 2026 in Current Conditions
The National Weather Service forecasts meager snow accumulations for Western New York this weekend, limited to higher terrain. The best chance of a minor coating is on the Tug Hill Plateau, Bristol Hills and Chautauqua Ridge.
Why it matters
Colder air moving into the region as mid-November approaches is the setup for these light snow conditions. Drivers and residents in the region should be aware that any snow received may melt quickly as milder weather returns.
This is a forecast-based outlook from the National Weather Service rather than observed totals, so accumulations remain unmeasured. Specific snowfall amounts and exact timing have not yet been determined.
The players
National Weather Service
The National Weather Service is the federal agency responsible for issuing weather forecasts and warnings across the United States, including New York.
The details
Relatively warm lake water combined with colder air moving across Lake Erie and Lake Ontario can produce significant lake-effect snow, but this weekend's forecast calls for only a light coating on higher terrain. The forecast notes that temperatures are expected to climb again next week.
Timeline
This weekend: minor snow accumulation expected in Western New York.
Next week: temperatures expected to climb again.
Seasonal Patterns
Lake Erie and Lake Ontario are known for producing feet of snow during lake-effect snowstorms, so this forecast of only a light coating marks a far milder event than those heavy outbreaks. The pattern reflects the typical mid-November shift toward colder air over relatively warm lake water.
Drivers in Western New York who travel to higher terrain should check conditions before heading out this weekend, since a light coating of snow is possible. New York's studded snow tire rules set specific dates for when those tires may be used, so check the state requirements before relying on them.
The takeaway
Light snow this weekend may not last, as the forecast calls for milder temperatures to return next week. Check current conditions before traveling to higher terrain.
Further reading
For more on what is happening across the state right now, see Current Conditions in New York.
