Gendebien Held Lead Over Constantino in New York Poll
A recent Siena Research Institute survey shows a four-point gap between the candidates in the NY-21 district.
Updated on Oct. 9, 2026 in Elections
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Blake Gendebien has secured a 46-42% lead over Anthony Constantino in a survey of New York's 21st Congressional District. Christopher Schmidt trails the pair with 5% support among potential voters.
Why it matters
The survey results highlight the competitive nature of the race ahead of the general election. With 8% of voters still undecided, the district remains a key battleground for both campaigns.
The poll tracks candidate support in NY-21, showing Gendebien with 46% and Constantino with 42%. An additional 8% of respondents are currently undecided, while Christopher Schmidt holds 5% of the vote.
The players
Blake Gendebien
He is a congressional candidate currently seeking to represent New York's 21st district.
Anthony Constantino
He is a political candidate running for a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Christopher Schmidt
He is a candidate appearing on the ballot in the NY-21 congressional race.
Siena Research Institute
Located in Loudonville, this research center conducts regular polling on political and social issues in New York.
The details
Conducted in collaboration with the Times Union, WPTZ-NBC5, and WAMC, the poll provides a snapshot of voter sentiment in the district. It serves as a bellwether for the contest as candidates make their final arguments to the local electorate.
Timeline
The Siena Research Institute published the poll results on October 9, 2026.
The election is scheduled to take place in November 2026.
Political Context
Opponents often challenge such polling by citing differing demographics or potential shifts in turnout models. These arguments emphasize that district-level results may diverge from broader statewide trends during the 2026 general election cycle.
This polling data signals that voters in the 21st district should prepare for increased campaign outreach as candidates fight for the remaining undecided voters. Residents may experience a rise in political advertising and mobilization efforts leading up to election day.
The takeaway
Voters should note that poll results are a snapshot and not a final prediction of the electoral outcome. Keeping track of the 8% undecided bloc provides the best indicator of how the final contest may shift.
Further reading
For more background on the upcoming races, visit Elections.
Source note: This article includes information reported by The Daily Gazette.
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