Thanksgiving Week Forecast Shows Mostly Seasonable New Mexico Weather
The Farmers' Almanac projects a typical late-November pattern for New Mexico during the Thanksgiving travel week of November 23 through 26.
Updated on Nov. 6, 2026 in Forecasts
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Would you change your Thanksgiving travel plans because of the weather forecast?
The Farmers' Almanac, in an update released October 27, forecasts mostly seasonable late-November weather for New Mexico, which falls in its South Central zone, covering Thanksgiving week from November 23 through 26. National Weather Service monthly outlooks released October 15 point to above-normal precipitation chances across the state in November.
Why it matters
Thanksgiving week is one of the heaviest travel periods of the year, so an expected seasonable pattern with a raised chance of wet weather matters for drivers and holiday plans across New Mexico. The forecast is an outlook rather than a day-specific prediction, so conditions can shift before the holiday.
The National Weather Service gives above a 30% chance of above-normal precipitation across New Mexico in November and above a 70% chance in southwest New Mexico. Temperature modeling shows no clear departure from normal, and the specific Thanksgiving week timing remains unresolved.
The players
Farmers' Almanac
A long-running North American publication known for its seasonal and long-range weather forecasts, which issued the Thanksgiving week outlook.
National Weather Service
The federal agency under NOAA responsible for weather forecasts and warnings, which released the monthly temperature and precipitation outlooks.
The details
The Farmers' Almanac forecasts a typical late-November pattern across the United States, with New Mexico described as mostly seasonable for the holiday week. Western and higher-terrain spots in the state could run colder still, while the broader outlook notes wet roads or chilly conditions in a few regions nationwide.
Timeline
October 15: National Weather Service released its monthly outlooks.
October 27: Farmers' Almanac updated its Thanksgiving week forecast.
November 23-26: Thanksgiving week travel period covered by the forecast.
Seasonal Patterns
The Farmers' Almanac's Thanksgiving forecast for New Mexico is a holiday-specific outlook that sits alongside the National Weather Service's November precipitation probabilities, which show elevated odds of above-normal rain and snow across the state. Both products describe a seasonable late-fall pattern with a raised chance of wet conditions rather than an extreme event.
Travelers in New Mexico should check short-range forecasts closer to November 23 and allow extra time for possible wet roads or chilly conditions in higher terrain. Keeping an eye on updated National Weather Service forecasts before departing can help plan around any changes.
The takeaway
Seasonal outlooks indicate likely patterns rather than exact daily conditions, so holiday travelers in New Mexico benefit from checking forecasts again in the days before Thanksgiving. Planning for a wetter-than-normal possibility is a practical step even when the overall pattern is seasonable.
What happens next
The Thanksgiving travel week of November 23 through 26 is the next date to watch as the forecast is refined closer to the holiday.
Further reading
For more on how seasonal outlooks are built, see Forecasts coverage on Wisevoter.
Live Poll
Would you change your Thanksgiving travel plans because of the weather forecast?
