Moody Led Nixon in Recent Florida Senate Poll
A Mason-Dixon survey shows Ashley Moody with a ten-point lead over Angie Nixon among likely voters.
Updated on Oct. 7, 2026 in Elections
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Ashley Moody holds 50% support compared to 40% for Angie Nixon in the latest statewide Florida Senate race survey. The poll indicates that 8% of voters remain undecided heading toward the November election.
Why it matters
The survey results underscore the state's shifting electorate, as Moody maintains strong support among Republicans while Nixon commands a majority of Democratic voters. The race takes place against a backdrop of a significant 1.5 million voter registration gap favoring Republicans.
The Mason-Dixon poll sampled 625 registered voters between September 28 and October 1, reflecting a voter base that is 44% Republican and 34% Democrat. The poll maintains a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
The players
Ashley Moody
She is the Republican candidate for the Florida Senate seat.
Angie Nixon
She is the Democratic candidate challenging for the Florida Senate seat.
Bernie Sanders
He is a U.S. Senator who intends to utilize his $23 million campaign war chest to support Nixon.
Donald Trump
He is the current President of the United States and holds a 48% job approval rating in the survey.
The details
Moody captures 91% of Republican voters while Nixon holds 87% support from Democrats in the statewide survey. Independent and other voters, who represent 22% of the sample, remain a critical demographic as the candidates compete for the remaining undecided voters.
Timeline
The Mason-Dixon poll fieldwork took place from September 28 through October 1, 2026.
Republicans held a 5.65 million voter registration advantage as of August 31, 2026.
The general election is scheduled to occur in November 2026.
Political Context
Opponents argue that the 1.5 million voter registration advantage held by Florida Republicans creates a structural hurdle that polling figures often fail to fully account for. Critics of the current Republican platform maintain that statewide polling frequently overlooks the mobilization potential of grassroots organizers in urban centers.
The narrowing or widening of these polling gaps directly influences the volume of political advertisements and outreach residents receive in their daily lives. Voters should expect increased communication from both campaigns as they leverage their respective war chests before the November election.
The takeaway
Voters should note that polling data represents a snapshot in time rather than a final electoral outcome. Staying informed about campaign spending and local registration trends provides a more accurate view of the electoral landscape as November approaches.
Further reading
For more information on the upcoming race, visit the Florida Elections section.
Source note: This article includes information reported by Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government..
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