Phoenix Temperatures to Climb to Lower 80s

Forecasters expect the Phoenix area to return to near-normal lower-80s temperatures over the weekend of November 7, 2026.

Updated on Nov. 6, 2026 in Current Conditions

Wide view of a flat Sonoran desert basin with saguaro cacti and creosote shrubs under a clear sky, with distant mountain ridges.
Phoenix temperatures are forecast to climb back into the lower 80s over the weekend of November 7, 2026, as upper-level high pressure takes over the region. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

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Phoenix-area temperatures are forecast to rise from the lower 70s to the lower 80s over the weekend of November 7, 2026, as upper-level high pressure takes control of the region. A final flood warning for the lower Salt River and Gila River in the West Valley remains in effect until Saturday afternoon.

Why it matters

The forecast return to seasonal normals ends a stretch of cooler air that had slowly warmed under quasi-zonal upper-atmosphere flow. Conditions are expected to remain consistent for most of the following week, giving Phoenix residents a stable outlook.

Forecast highs for the weekend are in the lower 80s, with northerly gusts up to 30 mph forecast in higher elevations on Friday, November 6. Arizona has a 20-40% chance of receiving precipitation from Pacific Northwest systems between November 10 and 16.

The details

A cut-off low pressure trough sank into Arizona from the Great Basin on Friday, November 6, bringing only minimal impacts and some light, spotty mountain showers at high elevations, especially to the east. Upper-level high pressure takes control on Saturday, November 7, and temperatures are expected to rise back near seasonal normals.

Timeline

  1. Friday, November 6, 2026: Temperatures reach the mid- to upper 70s as the cut-off low moves in.

  2. Saturday, November 7, 2026: The final flood warning expires in the afternoon and upper-level high pressure takes control.

  3. Weekend of November 7, 2026: Temperatures rise to the lower 80s.

  4. Week of November 9, 2026: Conditions are expected to be consistent, with breezy periods possible.

Seasonal Patterns

The weekend warm-up returns Phoenix to seasonal normals after cooler air that followed quasi-zonal upper-atmosphere flow over the past week. The calm stretch persists because no dramatic jet stream swings, such as a high pressure ridge or low pressure trough, are driving the regional pattern.

Phoenix residents can expect comfortable weekend temperatures in the lower 80s starting November 7, 2026. Anyone in higher elevations should be prepared for northerly gusts up to 30 mph on Friday, November 6, and anyone near the lower Salt River or Gila River should heed the flood warning until Saturday afternoon.

The takeaway

Phoenix residents can plan outdoor activities for the weekend of November 7, 2026, when temperatures return to seasonal norms. Checking the flood warning status before traveling near the Salt River or Gila River will help avoid high water hazards through Saturday afternoon.

What happens next

Forecasters expect temperatures and other conditions to stay consistent for most of the week of November 9, 2026, with breezy periods possible.

Further reading

For real-time readings, see Current Conditions for the latest Phoenix observations.

Source note: This article includes information reported by AZ Central.

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