Katie Hobbs Leads Andy Biggs in New Arizona Poll
A recent Equis Research survey shows Katie Hobbs holding a seven-point lead over Andy Biggs in the gubernatorial race.
Updated on Oct. 15, 2026 in Elections
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Katie Hobbs maintains a seven-point advantage over Andy Biggs in the Arizona gubernatorial election, according to new polling data from Equis Research. The survey of 1,200 Arizona voters suggests that Hobbs retains support from a segment of those who voted for Donald Trump in 2024.
Why it matters
The lead is attributed in part to the personal popularity of Katie Hobbs, who holds a 51% approval rating among Arizona swing voters. This polling highlights shifting voter priorities, with 23% of respondents citing water management as their top concern.
Equis Research surveyed 1,200 voters, including 400 Latino participants, with 10% of 2024 Trump voters currently supporting Hobbs. Additionally, two-thirds of those surveyed support stricter regulations for data centers.
The players
Katie Hobbs
Katie Hobbs is a candidate for governor who currently maintains a 51% approval rating among Arizona swing voters.
Andy Biggs
Andy Biggs is a candidate for governor currently trailing in recent polling data.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is the current President of the United States who won the state of Arizona in the 2024 election.
Equis Research
Equis Research is an organization that conducts public opinion polling and analysis on political elections.
The details
The polling data includes a breakdown of Latino voters, finding that 15% of those who backed Donald Trump in 2024 now support Hobbs. Meanwhile, Donald Trump maintains a 38% approval rating among the swing voters participating in the survey.
Timeline
2024 marked the year President Donald Trump won the state of Arizona.
October 2026 saw the distribution of early mail-in ballots to voters.
October 15, 2026, was the date Equis Research published the polling data.
Political Context
The push for new data center regulations represents a broader legislative trend in Arizona aimed at curtailing heavy industrial strain on local resources. Opposition groups remain concerned that such mandates could stifle infrastructure investment and impede economic growth.
Voters should be aware that the high percentage of residents citing water as a priority may influence the legislative agendas of both candidates. Increased attention to data center regulation could also signal potential changes to state zoning and utility policies.
The takeaway
Polls like this provide an early snapshot of voter sentiment, but actual results depend on high participation during the mail-in ballot process. Residents should monitor candidate statements on water and industrial regulation as these topics continue to drive public opinion.
Further reading
For additional context on the upcoming vote, explore the latest Arizona Elections coverage.
Source note: This article includes information reported by Arizona Public Media.
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Do you feel your state's political direction is improving as election priorities shift among voters?
