Software ETFs Rose After Inflation Data Cooled

Investors shifted capital into software funds as lower inflation data eased Federal Reserve rate hike expectations.

Updated on Sept. 30, 2026 in Investing

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The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose 2% on Wednesday as cooling August inflation data eased investor expectations for future Federal Reserve rate hikes. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

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The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF gained 2% on Wednesday as cooling inflation data boosted growth-oriented assets. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 rose more than 1% as market participants adjusted their expectations for future interest rate policy.

Why it matters

Softer-than-expected August inflation data reduced the probability of an October Federal Reserve rate hike. Lower interest rate expectations provided valuation tailwinds for growth-oriented software companies as investors rotated capital away from other tech sectors.

The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF, which holds 106 companies and carries a 0.38% expense ratio, has risen 38% over the past six months. Conversely, the iShares Semiconductor ETF, containing 30 holdings with a 0.33% expense ratio, declined 0.2% on Wednesday.

The players

Federal Reserve

The central banking system of the United States oversees monetary policy and interest rate decisions that influence market valuations.

iShares

This global provider of exchange-traded funds is a subsidiary of BlackRock and manages various sector-specific investment vehicles.

The details

Investors rotated capital from semiconductor funds into software and mega-cap technology ETFs following the release of August PCE data. The core PCE index increased 3% year over year, reinforcing the cooling trend that fueled market optimism.

Timeline

  1. August 2026: Headline PCE increased 3.4% and Core PCE increased 3%.

  2. September 24, 2026: IGV ETF holdings count was recorded.

  3. September 30, 2026: Market performance data reported.

  4. October 2026: Potential Federal Reserve rate hike.

Market Dynamics

This rotation reflects broader macroeconomic shifts where investors rebalance portfolios based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory. Similar to past cycles of monetary tightening, growth-oriented sectors remain highly sensitive to fluctuations in headline inflation data.

Retail investors holding tech-heavy portfolios may see increased volatility as markets respond to changing interest rate projections. Those managing long-term savings strategies should monitor how sector-specific ETFs react to future Federal Reserve policy announcements.

The takeaway

Investors should remain aware that software valuations are highly sensitive to Federal Reserve interest rate forecasts. Maintaining a diversified portfolio can help mitigate the risks associated with rapid capital rotation between technology sub-sectors.

Further reading

For additional context on how economic reports influence investment strategies, visit the Investing section.

Source note: This article includes information reported by Benzinga.

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