Low Pressure Near Bermuda May Become Subtropical Storm
A broad system south of Bermuda could develop into a subtropical storm this weekend, though development is considered unlikely in the near term.
Updated on Nov. 5, 2026 in Forecasts
A low pressure system a few hundred miles south of Bermuda could become a subtropical storm this weekend. Its showers and thunderstorms are disorganized and concentrated mainly east of the center, and the National Hurricane Center says development is unlikely in the near term.
Why it matters
Subtropical storms combine features of tropical and nontropical systems and can produce broad wind fields, so the forecast is relevant to Atlantic shipping and coastal planning. Forecasters note the system is far from the Texas Gulf Coast, and the Atlantic hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.
The forecast rests on the National Hurricane Center's assessment that development is unlikely in the near term, with the chance rising over the next week. It is not yet known whether the disorganized thunderstorms will consolidate around a center before conditions turn less favorable.
The players
National Hurricane Center
The National Hurricane Center is the U.S. federal agency responsible for tracking and forecasting tropical and subtropical weather systems in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins.
The details
The system is a broad area of low air pressure with disorganized showers and thunderstorms, concentrated mainly east of its center. Subtropical storms draw energy from warm ocean water and can develop broader wind fields than typical tropical cyclones, while cold fronts can disrupt such storms with stronger upper-level winds.
Timeline
This weekend: the low pressure system could become a subtropical storm.
Early next week: conditions may become less favorable for development.
Nov. 30: the Atlantic hurricane season ends.
Seasonal Patterns
The system is being assessed against the National Hurricane Center's definition of a subtropical storm, which blends tropical and nontropical characteristics. Forecasts like this one are issued within the late-season window that closes the Atlantic hurricane season on Nov. 30.
Residents and mariners in the Atlantic should monitor official National Hurricane Center updates as the system evolves this weekend. Conditions may shift early next week, so checking forecasts before travel or sea voyages is advisable.
The takeaway
Subtropical systems can develop slowly and change quickly, so tracking forecast updates through the end of the season helps readers anticipate shifts in conditions.
Further reading
Track more forecasts in our Forecasts section.
Source note: This article includes information reported by Houston Chronicle.
