Report Ranks Nations Likely to Join Abraham Accords
The Council for a Secure America identifies nine Muslim-majority countries that could potentially formalize ties with Israel.
Updated on Oct. 16, 2026 in Islam
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A new report from the Council for a Secure America ranks nine Muslim-majority Middle East nations based on their likelihood to join the Abraham Accords. Kuwait, Lebanon, and Syria are identified as the most probable candidates to normalize relations.
Why it matters
The analysis aims to identify regional shifts toward long-term peace, prosperity, and stability. It highlights how economic alliances and relationships with the United States and the United Arab Emirates influence potential diplomatic breakthroughs.
The report evaluated nine Muslim-majority Middle East countries, utilizing three rounds of polling in Lebanon and Syria conducted through June 2026. Kuwait is noted for having laws that currently prohibit official relations with Israel.
The players
Council for a Secure America
This organization produces policy research and analysis regarding international security and diplomatic relations.
Yossi Shelley
He serves as an Israeli ambassador and provided recent commentary on the potential for diplomatic progress in the region.
Ahmed Al-Sharaa
He is the President of Syria and recently commented on the status of security discussions involving Israel.
The details
The rankings are derived from expert analysis, government rhetoric, and regional developments. Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, Iraq, Yemen, and Iran were also assessed but are currently viewed as less likely to join the existing diplomatic agreements.
Timeline
June 2026: The Council for a Secure America conducted polling in Lebanon and Syria.
September 2026: Officials made comments regarding potential normalization progress.
October 16, 2026: The report was published.
Culture Shift
The report reflects a broader geopolitical trend where Middle Eastern states are increasingly re-evaluating their diplomatic and economic strategies. This potential shift marks a departure from historical regional policies that strictly rejected formal normalization with Israel.
This research provides a framework for understanding potential future changes in travel, trade, and economic cooperation between these nations. Residents and businesses monitoring regional stability should watch for follow-up announcements regarding specific diplomatic milestones.
The takeaway
The analysis underscores the fluid nature of regional alliances in the Middle East. Observers should view these rankings as a roadmap for potential shifts rather than definitive predictions of diplomatic success.
What happens next
The Council for a Secure America plans to release two additional reports focusing on Muslim-majority countries located in Africa and Asia in the coming months.
Further reading
Learn more about the intersection of diplomacy and Islam in global affairs.
Source note: This article includes information reported by Jewish News Syndicate.
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Should more Muslim-majority nations normalize diplomatic relations with Israel to promote regional stability?
