European Travel Intentions Have Declined for Autumn
A new report shows fewer long-haul travelers plan to visit Europe through the end of 2026.
Updated on Oct. 14, 2026 in Europe
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The European Travel Commission and Interrail have released data showing a decline in long-haul travel intentions to Europe for the period of September to December 2026. The share of respondents planning to visit the region fell to 34%, down from previous levels.
Why it matters
Travel intentions are currently being influenced by rising costs and a shift in consumer preference toward other global regions. Financial barriers remain a significant hurdle for those opting not to travel this season.
Approximately 44% of potential travelers identified high costs as their primary barrier to travel. Meanwhile, 52% of those who still plan to visit the region have already secured their flight bookings.
The players
European Travel Commission
This non-profit organization represents national tourism organizations across Europe and works to promote the continent as a premier travel destination.
Interrail
Interrail provides rail passes that allow residents of Europe to travel extensively across the continent's train networks.
The details
The survey gathered insights from residents in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Japan, South Korea, and the United States. While intent has softened, 73% of planned trips are for leisure, and 66% of travelers intend to visit at least two European countries.
Timeline
In 2019, 33% of Chinese respondents booked trips to Europe.
In 2025, 55% of respondents planned an overseas trip.
The study analyzed long-haul travel intentions from September to December 2026.
Travel Outlook
This decline reflects broader shifts in global tourism patterns, where travelers are increasingly balancing high costs against preferred regional destinations. The data provides a window into how international demand for Europe compares to fluctuations in broader global travel markets.
Travelers should note that 52% of prospective visitors have already booked their flights, suggesting that early planning remains critical to managing trip costs. Those looking to minimize expenses should focus on destinations that allow for efficient multi-country itineraries.
The takeaway
Travelers are increasingly price-conscious, with a significant segment of potential visitors deterred by high costs. Budget-conscious tourists may find better value by looking beyond the most popular destinations or utilizing rail passes to maximize their travel reach.
Further reading
For more information on trends impacting tourism, read the latest analysis in Europe.
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