Nasheed Warned Against New Spheres of Influence
Former Maldivian president cautioned that middle powers could replicate colonial-era geopolitical partitioning.
Updated on Oct. 12, 2026 in International Relations
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Mohamed Nasheed expressed concerns that middle-tier nations may establish spheres of influence, potentially echoing the 1884-85 Berlin Conference. He warned that such a shift could leave smaller countries without a voice in international affairs.
Why it matters
The rise of middle powers as independent swing states in a multipolar world risks creating exclusionary zones that marginalized nations fear will limit their sovereign influence. This development signals a potential shift in the global order as the traditional Atlantic alliance framework evolves.
Middle powers including India, Japan, Canada, Australia, and the UAE possess significant economic and military influence without matching the global reach of the US, China, Russia, or France. These nations are increasingly leveraging their roles as swing states to shape global affairs.
The players
Mohamed Nasheed
He is the former president of the Maldives and an active participant in international diplomatic discourse.
Observer Research Foundation
This independent think tank is based in India and focuses on foreign policy, economy, and global governance.
Ministry of Ports, Shipping, and Waterways
This is an Indian government ministry responsible for the formulation and administration of laws related to maritime transport.
The details
Nasheed argued that as middle powers exert more control, there is a mounting risk they will carve up regions similarly to how European powers partitioned Africa during the 19th century. He highlighted these anxieties while speaking at the Sagarmanthan conference, emphasizing the need to prevent a new era of diplomatic fragmentation.
Timeline
The Berlin Conference was held between 1884 and 1885.
Mohamed Nasheed spoke at the Sagarmanthan conference in October 2026.
Political Context
Opponents of this critique may argue that middle powers provide necessary stability in a fractured multipolar environment where traditional superpowers are overextended. Dissenting voices often emphasize that regional leadership is a natural consequence of economic growth rather than a deliberate effort to mimic historical colonialism.
Shifts toward formalized spheres of influence may alter how smaller nations navigate trade agreements, diplomatic negotiations, and foreign aid access. Readers in affected regions may experience changes in local regulatory environments as their governments align or counter the interests of regional middle powers.
The takeaway
Nasheed's warnings highlight the ongoing tension between regional power dynamics and the inclusive global cooperation required to represent smaller nations. The situation underscores the need for continued international oversight as middle powers increasingly assert their geopolitical reach.
Further reading
For more context on how nations navigate complex global alliances, visit the International Relations section.
Source note: This article includes information reported by Firstpost.
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