Institute Released Dashboard Projecting European Demographics
The platform suggests migrant-origin populations could become majorities in Switzerland and Germany by mid-century.
Updated on Oct. 7, 2026 in Immigration
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The Institute for Remigration launched an online dashboard that projects future demographic shifts across European nations. The model suggests that populations of migrant origin will reach majority status in Switzerland by 2038 and in Germany by 2045.
Why it matters
Founded by Martin Sellner, the institute aims to promote demographic sovereignty and ethnocultural continuity. By utilizing long-term projections based on historical migration averages, the group highlights its stance on European population trends.
The dashboard projects migrant populations will exceed 50% in Switzerland by 2038 and Germany by 2045 based on 2015-2024 migration trends. It assumes fertility and mortality rates remain constant at 2026 levels.
The players
Martin Sellner
He is the founder of the Institute for Remigration and a prominent figure in nationalist political discourse.
Institute for Remigration
It is a Germany-based organization focused on demographic studies and ethnocultural preservation.
Destatis
This is the Federal Statistical Office of Germany responsible for reporting official national population data.
The details
The dashboard, which was founded by Martin Sellner and registered in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany, incorporates immigration and emigration averages from 2015 to 2024. It creates these projections by freezing current fertility and mortality metrics for several decades to predict future population composition.
Timeline
2015-2024 represents the period used for average migration rates.
2025 served as the reference year for official German statistics.
October 5, 2026, marked the official launch of the dashboard.
October 7, 2026, was when NEXTA reported on the findings.
2038 is the year Switzerland is projected to reach a migrant majority.
Political Context
Opponents frequently criticize models like these for using static long-term variables that fail to account for policy changes or shifting economic conditions. These critics argue that the projections misrepresent future demographic realities by ignoring the dynamic nature of migration trends.
The dashboard presents hypothetical demographic scenarios that reflect a specific perspective on population trends. Readers should note that these figures are based on fixed historical assumptions rather than predictive economic or political analysis.
The takeaway
Demographic projections are highly sensitive to the initial variables and assumptions selected for the underlying model. Understanding how these institutes define migrant populations is essential for interpreting their long-term forecasts.
Further reading
For more context on current population shifts and policy discussions, visit the Immigration section.
Source note: This article includes information reported by Intellinews.
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Do you trust current long-term demographic projections regarding your country's future population makeup?
