FTSE Russell Warned of Rising Energy Costs

Global refining constraints have reached record levels and are driving up fuel prices.

Updated on Sept. 18, 2026 in Oil and Gas

Bold vector illustration of an industrial oil refining tower and steel pipe network, representing energy market capacity constraints.
FTSE Russell warned that record global refining constraints and output disruptions are driving up energy costs and straining global markets. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

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FTSE Russell has issued a formal warning regarding the impact of soaring energy costs and limited global refining capacity. The International Energy Agency reports that these constraints are placing significant strain on the global refining system.

Why it matters

Refining constraints and output disruptions create instability in global markets, directly contributing to elevated fuel prices. These systemic pressures limit the ability of the global energy sector to meet demand.

Refining margins have climbed to record levels as limited capacity fails to keep pace with demand. This environment is exacerbated by ongoing refinery output disruptions across the Middle East and Russia.

The players

FTSE Russell

This global index provider and data analytics company offers benchmark indices and market intelligence to investors worldwide.

International Energy Agency

This intergovernmental organization provides policy recommendations, analysis, and data on the global energy sector.

The details

The global refining system is currently under significant strain as regional output disruptions continue to impact throughput. These structural limitations have left the market vulnerable, with analysts noting that constrained processing capacity is driving up energy costs worldwide.

Timeline

  1. By the end of the year, crude oil prices could reach new all-time highs.

Market Landscape

This warning highlights a structural shift where supply-side bottlenecks now pose as much risk to global pricing as geopolitical tensions. It follows the pattern set by the 1973 oil crisis, where localized disruptions immediately translate into global market volatility.

Consumers should anticipate potential volatility in fuel prices as global refining constraints persist. These market conditions may also lead to broader inflationary pressures on goods that rely heavily on energy-intensive production and transport.

The takeaway

Energy price spikes driven by refining bottlenecks are a reminder of the fragility inherent in global supply chains. Monitoring regional production output in major refining hubs like Russia and the Middle East is essential for anticipating shifts in fuel costs.

Further reading

For more on the current global energy landscape, visit the /business/industry/oil-gas/ section.

Live Poll

Do you expect rising energy and fuel costs to negatively affect your household budget this year?